Western New York is bracing for a return to wintry conditions as a major nor'easter, primarily impacting coastal cities, is expected to graze the region. While Buffalo metro areas will see minor snowfall, higher elevations in the southern tier anticipate more significant accumulations, with a Winter Weather Advisory and Winter Storm Watch now in effect.
Key Takeaways
- Buffalo metro area expects only light snow.
- Southern Erie, Wyoming, and Cattaraugus counties under Winter Weather Advisory for 4-8 inches of snow in higher elevations.
- Chautauqua County under Winter Storm Watch with potential for 7+ inches of lake-enhanced snow on the Chautauqua Ridge.
- Hazardous travel conditions are expected for Monday morning and evening commutes.
- Temperatures are forecast to remain near or below normal for the coming week.
Nor'easter's Edge Brings Snow to Southern Tier
A powerful nor'easter, which poses a significant threat to major East Coast cities like New York City and Boston, will largely bypass Western New York. However, residents should still prepare for a notable shift back to winter weather. Forecasters predict minor snow accumulations for the immediate Buffalo metropolitan area, reminding everyone that winter is far from over.
The more substantial snowfall is expected across the higher terrain of the southern tier. This includes specific areas like the Wyoming hills and the Boston Hills. These regions are likely to see the most impactful snow totals.
"Anywhere between 2 and 4 inches of snow for the Wyoming hills, and even areas south and east in the Boston Hills," stated National Weather Service meteorologist Dave Thomas. "That's where we're expecting the greatest snowfall for today and into the evening hours."
Snowfall Projections
- Buffalo Metro: Dusting to minor accumulations
- Wyoming & Boston Hills: 2-4 inches
- Higher Elevations (Southern Erie, Wyoming, Cattaraugus): 4-8 inches
- Chautauqua Ridge: Potential for 7+ inches
Advisories and Watches Issued for Specific Regions
Authorities have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Southern Erie, Wyoming, and Cattaraugus counties. This advisory is active from Sunday evening through early Tuesday morning. Within these counties, the higher elevations are expected to experience significant snowfall.
Specifically, areas such as the Boston Hills, the ridges of Wyoming County, and northern Cattaraugus County could see total snow accumulations ranging from 4 to 8 inches. Lower elevations and valleys within these counties are projected to receive a lesser amount, typically between 2 and 4 inches.
Understanding Winter Advisories
A Winter Weather Advisory indicates that winter weather conditions are expected to cause significant inconveniences and may be hazardous. When caution is used, these situations are not life-threatening. A Winter Storm Watch means that severe winter weather is possible. People in a watch area should be prepared for dangerous conditions and consider taking action.
Lake-Enhanced Snow for Chautauqua County
Further west, Chautauqua County is under a Winter Storm Watch, effective from Sunday evening through late Monday night. This watch signals the potential for heavy, lake-enhanced snow. The Chautauqua Ridge axis is identified as the primary area for the most substantial accumulations, with forecasters indicating a potential for 7 inches or more.
Light snow is expected throughout Sunday and early evening across Chautauqua County. This will transition into heavy snow tonight and continue through Monday night, primarily affecting the upslope regions of the Chautauqua Ridge.
Impact on Travel and Commutes
The forecasted wintry conditions are expected to create difficult travel across the affected regions. Roads may become snow-covered, and visibility could be significantly reduced. This poses a particular challenge for commuters.
The hazardous conditions are most likely to impact both the Monday morning and evening commutes. Drivers are advised to exercise extreme caution, slow down, and allow extra time for travel. Narrow bands of heavy snow, especially in lake-enhanced areas, could lead to rapidly changing road conditions and sudden drops in visibility.
Current Weather Snapshot (Buffalo)
- Now: 30°F, Light snow
- Today (Hi): 32°F, Snow
- Tonight (Lo): 27°F, Snow
- Tomorrow (Hi): 29°F, Snow
Looking Ahead: Continued Cold and Potential Warm-up
Beyond Monday, the forecast suggests more light snowfall to start the work week. Meteorologists are closely monitoring a weather system expected to move into the region late in the week. This system will largely determine the extent of any potential warm-up and whether the Eastern Great Lakes region will see more rain or snow.
Current long-term forecasts indicate that any advertised warm-up appears to be shortening. Only one day in the long-term outlook, Saturday, shows temperatures potentially reaching the 40s. The prevailing pattern suggests that temperatures will fall back to near or below normal levels as next week progresses, reinforcing the ongoing winter feel for Western New York.
Residents in affected areas should stay informed about the latest weather updates and take necessary precautions for safe travel and daily activities.